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FerrumFortis

Algoma's Anguish: Anticipated American Assessments Annihilate Aspirations

Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Synopsis: Algoma Steel Group CEO Michael Garcia warns that President Donald Trump's proposed 50% tariffs on Canadian steel imports could render the company's US business commercially unviable, forcing potential closure of operations serving American markets.

Executive's Existential Exigency: Economic Elimination Engulfs Enterprise

Algoma Steel Group Inc. Chief Executive Michael Garcia has issued stark warnings regarding the commercial viability of the company's American operations following President Donald Trump's announcement to double steel & aluminum tariffs to 50%. Speaking candidly about the unprecedented challenges facing Canada's only independent steelmaker, Garcia emphasized that maintaining US business relationships would become "commercially unviable" unless steel prices reach 2020,2021 levels. The company's US revenue share has already plummeted from 65% to 50% under existing 25% tariffs, illustrating the devastating impact of protectionist policies on cross,border commerce.

 

Presidential Proclamation: Protectionist Policies Precipitate Perilous Predicament

Trump's Friday announcement to implement 50% tariffs effective Wednesday represents a dramatic escalation in trade hostilities, framed around national security concerns & eliminating foreign steel threats. The doubled duties apply universally to all metal imports, not exclusively targeting Canadian products, yet the impact on northern producers remains disproportionately severe. Garcia noted that steel prices would need to double from current US Midwest domestic hot,rolled coil futures of $900 per metric ton to approximately $1,800 per metric ton to maintain profitability under the proposed tariff regime.

 

Employment Erosion: Occupational Obliteration Overwhelms Ontario Operations

The escalating trade tensions have forced Algoma to implement painful cost,cutting measures, including significant workforce reductions at its Sault Ste. Marie facilities. Bill Slater, president of United Steelworkers Local 2724, confirmed that 35 job cuts are imminent, alongside 19 constituting longer term layoffs exceeding eight weeks, scheduled to begin July 21. The remaining positions involve retirements & early contract terminations for short term workers, affecting a workforce of approximately 2,750 employees in the Northern Ontario border city.

 

Domestic Dumping Dilemma: Deleterious Depreciation Devastates Demand

Paradoxically, Algoma faces even greater challenges in the domestic Canadian market than in the United States, according to union leadership. Foreign steelmakers, increasingly excluded from American markets, have redirected their exports toward Canada, creating severe price competition. Slater explained that "all these other countries are dumping steel into Canada," resulting in unsustainable price reductions that exceed losses incurred in American operations. This dual,market pressure creates an unprecedented squeeze on Canadian steel producers.

 

International Infiltration: Insidious Imports Imperil Indigenous Industry

The scope of steel dumping extends far beyond Chinese producers, encompassing multiple nations seeking alternative markets amid global trade restrictions. Garcia previously identified South Korea, Malaysia, India, Vietnam, Middle Eastern countries, & Turkey as sources of below,cost steel flooding Canadian markets. While Ottawa imposed 25% tariffs on Chinese steel following similar American actions under former President Joe Biden, the broader dumping problem persists across multiple jurisdictions, requiring comprehensive regulatory responses.

 

Regulatory Remediation: Resolute Responses Required Regarding Ruinous Rivalry

Canadian authorities have established mechanisms to address unfair trade practices through the Canada Border Services Agency & Canadian International Trade Tribunal. These institutions investigate dumping allegations & determine material injury to domestic industries, potentially leading to anti,dumping duties against offending nations. However, the complexity of global steel markets & the rapid pace of trade policy changes challenge traditional regulatory frameworks designed for more stable commercial environments.

 

Strategic Sanguinity: Sagacious Solutions Sustain Sectoral Survival

Despite unprecedented challenges, Garcia maintains cautious optimism regarding Algoma's long,term prospects, citing potential benefits from increased Canadian content requirements & trade diversification initiatives. Federal Industry Minister Mélanie Joly's commitment to using Canadian steel & aluminum in major infrastructure & defense projects provides domestic market opportunities. The company's investment in electric arc furnace technology promises reduced production costs, potentially improving competitiveness across multiple market segments.

 

Liquidity Preservation: Prudent Planning Protects Precarious Position

Garcia emphasized Algoma's focus on maintaining financial flexibility during the current turbulent period, implementing various liquidity,saving measures to weather the trade storm. The company's strategy involves preserving cash resources while adapting to rapidly changing market conditions, positioning itself to capitalize on eventual trade relationship improvements. "Algoma has the wherewithal to make it through," Garcia stated, expressing confidence in the company's ability to survive current challenges & emerge stronger.

 

Key Takeaways:

• Algoma Steel CEO Michael Garcia warns 50% US tariffs would make American business unviable unless steel prices double from current $900 to approximately $1,800 per metric ton

• Company's US revenue share dropped from 65% to 50% under existing 25% tariffs, alongside 35 job cuts announced affecting 2,750 employees in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario

• Foreign steel dumping from South Korea, Malaysia, India, Vietnam, Middle East, & Turkey creates additional pressure in Canadian domestic markets beyond Chinese competition

 

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