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Permutations & Prognostications for Europe’s Carbon Calculus

European carbon allowance prices rose above €77 per metric ton in September as traders positioned for future market tightness. Major changes are scheduled for 2026, including a reduction in the number of available permits. Analysts from firms like Vertis & Macquarie predict prices will climb significantly, potentially exceeding €110 per ton, due to this constrained supply and increased demand.

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