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Carbon’s Contumacious Climb: Compliance Conundrum & Speculative Slumber

European carbon prices remained above €80 per metric ton through August and September 2026. December futures reached €85.4 per metric ton on 8 September, supported by energy company hedging. Analysts lowered 2026 and 2027 forecasts amid proposed Emissions Trading System reforms. The reforms would slow emissions cap reductions and establish a €100 billion decarbonisation fund.

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